dollar strength is the overlooked driver of basis compression

Ignoring stablecoin velocity because stablecoin settlement looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

Put beside current chatter on “Bitcoin (BTC) Predicted to Hit $86,000 This November: Kalshi,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

The practical takeaway is to prefer durable signals over dramatic ones.

The loudest story is not always the decisive one.

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